Veterans Day Service Plays 11/11/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

The Rx.com will not tolerate posters that post false records of any services they track. Please be truthful if you decide to track a particular service.

Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




TheRX.com Policy on Posting Handicapper Plays:
In the poster agreement that all posters agree to when signing up, posters have agreed to NOT post copyrighted information.
Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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****Please note we can post ONLY Picks for the services above - NO WRITE - UPS. All other services not on this list can be posted in any fashion. GL!​

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

To all who served, Happy Veterans Day!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday Night Football: Ravens at Falcons

Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons (-1, 43.5)

The Ravens head to Atlanta Thursday night for a showdown between two top-tier Super Bowl contenders. The Falcons are +1,000 and the Ravens +700 to win the Super Bowl, according to BoDog current futures odds.

Baltimore (6-2, 4-3-1 ATS) arrives having won two straight with a bye week sandwiched in between victories over Miami and Buffalo. Last week’s 26-10 win over the Dolphins was perhaps the Ravens’ most complete game of the season.

Running back Ray Rice got untracked with 180 total yards, allowing Baltimore to control the football. The Ravens owned a ridiculous 17-minute advantage in time of possession and limited Miami to only 53 plays.

The Falcons (6-2, 6-2 ATS) weren’t quite as sharp in their win over Tampa Bay last week. They allowed a kickoff return for a touchdown and needed late goal-line stand to put away the scrappy Bucs.

Star wide out Roddy White sustained what he called a bruised knee and left the game momentarily. He would return but sat out practice Monday and Tuesday. White told reporters Tuesday that he would play against the Ravens.

Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan is 17-1 at home and will be facing a fellow third-year QB in Baltimore’s Joe Flacco.

The two teams have not met since 2006, a 24-10 Ravens’ win in Atlanta.

The Line

The old Las Vegas oddsmaker joke about having to make someone the favorite so the squares know who to bet on seems to apply here. The Falcons opened as 1-point favorites at most outlets. The number had not budged as of Wednesday afternoon.

When facing a team with comparable talent, playing on the road hasn’t affected the Ravens much. They are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog of three points or less. In addition, the Falcons’ home-field advantage has not helped against quality teams that play well on the road, like the Ravens. Atlanta is 8-19-1 ATS at home against a team with a winning record on the road.

The Total

The total opened up at 43.5, with a random 44 out there on Wednesday.

The Falcons score 24.5 and allow 19.2 points per game. The Ravens score 21.9 and allow 17.4 points per game.

The under is 9-1-1 in the Ravens last 11 road games and 13-6-1 overall in their last 20 games.

Injury Report

The Falcons are a banged-up football team with two starters, center Todd McClure and linebacker Sean Weatherspoon, in addition to White missing practice time this week. Starting linebacker Curtis Lofton, No. 4 receiver Brian Finneran and key reserve running back Jason Snelling were limited in practice this week.

McClure, White, Lofton, Finneran and Snelling are going to play, but Weatherspoon is listed as day-to-day.

In contrast, Baltimore is relatively healthy. Safety Tom Zbikowski and defensive tackle Arthur Jones missed Tuesday’s practice. Zbikowski has missed the past two games with a bruised right heel.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday's Best NFL Bet

Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons (-1, 43.5)

Two teams that are atop their own division and are tied for the best record in the NFL are going to be meeting up in the Georgia Dome in the first Thursday Night Football showdown of the fall, as the Atlanta Falcons duke it out with the Baltimore Ravens in what should be a fantastic clash.

We have been waiting for the Ravens to come out and be just an angry team, and that finally happened last week when they bombed the Miami Dolphins 26-10. Offensively, Baltimore should be doing enough to win a lot of games this year. The Ravens rank No. 15 in the league in both total offense at 348.0 yards per game and scoring at 21.9 points per game. Baltimore has gotten a good year out of QB Joe Flacco. He has thrown for 1,917 yards and 12 TDs so far in eight games this year, and he is doing a nice job taking care of the football with just six picks. RB Ray Rice has 606 yards on the ground this year, but his drawback is that he just has two TDs this year. WR Anquan Boldin has 40 catches and is on pace for a 1,000 yard season, as he has 546 yards and five scores. However, it is that defense that finally came to play after back to back bad weeks against the New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills that impressed us. SS Ed Reed is back, and he promptly picked off a pass in his first game back from injury this year.

Is Atlanta the best team in the NFC this year? The Falcons sure look a heck of a lot like last year’s team that narrowly missed the playoffs, but the rest of the NFC seems to have come back to the field. The difference on the offense this year is that RB Michael Turner is really on the ball. Turner has 694 yards this year on the ground and has already found pay dirt five times. As a result, QB Matt Ryan is able to get some more time to look around to throw. He has thrown for 1,949 yards and 13 scores against five picks, and he is well on his way to having the best season of his career. On the other side of the ball, the secondary is still struggling this year even though DB Dunta Robinson supposedly was going to come in and solidify this unit. What the Falcons have going for them right now is that they have won six of their last seven games and are on a real roll right now. The problem is that four of the next five are on the road after this one, and all but one of these games from now through January are against playoff contenders.

This game is really a tossup, and it’s going to be a difficult one to make a call. If WR Roddy White is going to be out of the lineup, the Falcons are going to be hurting, and he is nursing a knee injury. There are just too many question marks right now for Atlanta, and for as long as the Ravens have this mean streak about them, we can’t go against them.

Pick: Baltimore Ravens +1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday's Best NCAAF Bets

Pittsburgh Panthers at Connecticut Huskies (+5.5, 46.5)

It has been an awfully weird season for the Panthers this year. They really thought that they were going to be able to rely on RB Dion Lewis to carry the load towards a Big East title, and if all else failed, the defensive line was supposed to get the job done. DL Greg Romeus, who many think is the best lineman in the country, has been out of the lineup for two months now and just might finally be ready to go on Thursday. Lewis though, has been the major question mark. A year after running for almost 1,800 yards and coming up with almost 2,000 total yards of offense, Lewis has tailed off dramatically, accounting for just 479 yards on the ground and five total TDs. Instead, fellow sophomore RB Ray Graham has really stepped into the fold well and rumbled all over the place on foes. Graham has 685 yards and a total of eight TDs on the year, and he is starting to really get as many carries as Lewis on a regular basis. QB Tino Sunseri was supposed to struggle this year, but he has been a rock in the backfield. The first year starter has completed 65.9 percent of his passes for 1,672 yards and 12 scores against just four picks. Three wins in the next four weeks will wrap up a spot in the BCS for the Panthers, but even then, they might not be ranked in the Top 25.

UConn hasn’t exactly been “normal” this year either. RB Jordan Todman was considered a dark horse Heisman Trophy candidate, but he has gotten absolutely no help on the year. Todman does have 954 yards and is like to reach the 1,000 yard rushing barrier this week, but he only has nine of the team’s 21 TDs this season. We’ve also seen three different men take snaps this year for HC Randy Edsall. QB Cody Endres was suspended for the rest of the season, and with QB Zach Frazer proving ineffective, QB Michael Box took over. However, after going 6-for-17, Box was knocked out with a concussion, and now it seems as though Frazer is really the only option to turn to. There are no guarantee wins left on the schedule but no guaranteed losses either. This could be the team that wins the Big East, and it might be one of the few that doesn’t end up going bowling. A defense that has only allowed 21.4 points per game this year is going to be crucial at home on Thursday night.

This is the wacky Big East, where anything can, and frequently does happen. Last week, the Huskies took down the West Virginia Mountaineers in overtime, and this looks like an awfully familiar situation. This will be a smash mouth game that could get really, really ugly at times. In these situations, we love taking the points, and we’ll hop on the UConn bandwagon once again.

Pick: Connecticut Huskies +5


East Carolina Pirates at University Of Alabama Birmingham Blazers (-2, 67)

In what could be the more entertaining of the two duels on Thursday night, the East Carolina Pirates will look to stop their skid as they travel to the UAB Blazers.

The ECU offense has certainly made no mistakes of late, as this unit has averaged 36.8 points per game over the last month and chance of the season. QB Dominique Davis is having a season to be proud of for sure. He has thrown for 2,734 yards and 26 scores already this year to go with seven rushing touchdowns. Needless to say, without the Boston College transfer in the lineup, bad things would be happening for this offense. The Pirates are getting a solid year out of RB Jonathan Williams as well, as has rumbled for 577 yards and six TDs this year. WR Dwyane Harris and WR Lance Lewis both have chances at 1,000 yard seasons. Harris has 70 catches for 823 yards and eight TDs, while Lewis has 57 grabs, 637 yards, and nine scores. And then there’s the defense… The Pirates allowed 76 points last season in an absolutely horrid game against the Navy Midshipmen, a team that really hadn’t found its offense yet this year. Now, the Pirates rank No. 115 in the country in total defense at 456.9 yards per game, No. 118 against the rush with 221.6 yards per game, and No. 117 in scoring at 41.3 points per game.

There haven’t been many teams that have shown a worse case of bi-polarity this year than the Blazers. UAB has a huge upset win over the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles and a ‘W’ against the probable Sun Belt champs, the Troy Trojans. They’ve hung tough with both the Tennessee Volunteers and Mississippi State Bulldogs as well. However, for every game like that, there is a complete dud like last week’s loss to the Marshall Thundering Herd at home by two TDs and a season opening loss at home to the FAU Owls as two TD favorites. The Blazers are hoping to get their option quarterback back, as QB David Isabelle is possibly going to be back under center after sitting out the last few weeks with a broken hand. QB Bryan Ellis has been manning the fort in the meantime, and he has at least performed admirably. Ellis has 14 TDs this year with 1,910 passing yards. The UAB defense hasn’t really been much to write home about either, as it ranks No. 82 in the land at 401.0 yards per game and No. 96 in scoring at 31.3 points per game.

We tend to think that the Pirates have been dropped far too much in this one. They are still a great Conference USA team, as they only have one loss to the UCF Knights, the only team in the conference that is ranked in the Top 25 in the land. ECU is going to rock and roll on Thursday night down in Birmingham.

Pick: East Carolina Pirates +2.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dunkel

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 11
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (11/9)
Game 107-108: Pittsburgh at Connecticut (7:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 97.944; Connecticut 87.475
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 10 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 5 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-5 1/2); Over

Game 109-110: East Carolina at UAB (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 88.160; UAB 85.756
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 2 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: UAB by 2 1/2; 67
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+2 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PICK 'N' ROLL

Thursday's Best NBA Bets

Boston Celtics at Miami Heat (-6.5, 183.5)

After the Big Three came together in South Beach, lots of talking heads wondered whether the Heat could contest the best regular-season record in NBA history that the 1995-96 Chicago Bulls set with 72 wins. That speculation was probably premature but at any rate, Miami wasn’t supposed to lose many games this season.

Especially not games in which they were up by 21 points in the third quarter while pegged as 9-point favorites. But that’s exactly what happened to the Heat Tuesday night when they dropped a 116-114 decision in overtime to the Utah Jazz.

"It hurts. It hurts to take time. No one wants to go through the process,” Dwyane Wade told reporters. “But it's life. Everyone has to go through the process. No question, we understand that we're a very good defensive team. We understand that our offense is coming along. And sometimes you take those things for granted."

Don’t count on that happening two games in a row, especially against the Boston Celtics who took the first meeting between the two clubs 88-80. Look for Miami to make a statement here.

Pick: Miami Heat


Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets (+3, 211)

Much like the Heat, the Los Angeles Lakers are also looking to bounce back from a disappointing effort in their last game.

The only difference here is that the Lakers were able to pull out a 99-94 win over the terrible Minnesota Timberwolves as 16.5-point favorites to improve to 8-0 straight up on the year. Los Angeles was outrebounded 54-42 by Minnesota and shot 44.9 percent from the floor while turning the ball over 18 times.

"The way we played tonight was irresponsible and it was reckless and it was disrespectful," point guard Derek Fisher told reporters Tuesday. "I can't get any clearer than that. There was an air of complacency, of arrogance, of 'We don't have to play as hard as the other team to win' that I didn't like tonight."

The Lakers have dropped two of their last three against the spread and Tuesday’s effort isn’t good news for the Denver Nuggets, who have lost two straight and four of their last five games against the number.

Kobe Bryant downplayed Tuesday’s close call the next day at practice, but you have to expect a much better showing from Los Angeles against Denver. This is also the shortest line the Lakers have seen all season.

Pick: Los Angeles Lakers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ICE PICKS

Thursday's Best NHL Bets

Montreal Canadiens at Boston Bruins (-150, 5.5)

The Montreal Canadiens may have some wrinkles to iron out yet, but goaltender Carey Price is making up for a lot of the mistakes in front of him.

Price improved to 8-5-1 on the year with his second shutout of the season, an impressive 2-0 win over the Vancouver Canucks on Tuesday night. Price made 34 saves and was at his best when the Canucks made a push in the third period, firing 19 shots his way in the final frame. Price now owns a 2.28 goals-against average and a .918 save percentage.

“Carey made huge saves the whole game and he deserves the most credit, but everyone battled and that’s the way we have to play,” Roman Hamrlik told reporters. “Lately, we haven’t played our best, but tonight everyone brought their ‘A’ game.”

They’ll need a similar effort against a Bruins team that will be playing the second half of a back-to-back. Boston ranks eighth in the league averaging three goals a game and has enjoyed a spectacular start from veteran goalie Tim Thomas.

Look for this one to be a tight-checking affair.

Pick: Under


Tampa Bay Lightning at Washington Capitals (-205, 6)

The NHL’s top two scorers face off Thursday night as Steven Stamkos’ Tampa Bay Lightning visits Alexander Ovechkin’s Washington Capitals.

Stamkos sniped two more goals in Tuesday’s 4-0 win over the Toronto Maple Leafs and now tops the league with 13 goals and 24 points.

“It’s pretty surreal,” Stamkos told reporters of his hot start. “It’s my third year already and it just seems that time flies. When you look up and see the likes of Ovechkin and Crosby and then yourself, it’s pretty cool. At the same time, I’m doing everything I can to help this team win.”

Not to be outdone, Alexander Ovechkin chipped in a pair of assists to help the Capitals to a 5-3 win over the Rangers on Tuesday to extend his points streak to seven games. Ovie has four goals and 12 points over that span to sit just behind Stamkos with 20 points heading into Wednesday’s action.

At this price you either have to take a shot with the underdog Lightning or play over the 6-goal total. We’ll roll the dice with Tampa Bay to end Washington’s five-game winning streak.

Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bettors' Best Friend (BBF): Thursday's Wagering Tips

Lines To Watch

UConn opened as a 6.5-point underdog against Pitt, but is now listed at +5.5.

Weather To Watch

Pittsburgh at Connecticut - 13 mph winds blowing sideline-to-sideline expected.

Who’s Hot

Golden State Warriors are off to a 5-2 start against the spread.

Boston Celtics have covered in eight of their last 10 trips to Miami.

Minnesota Wild have won six of their last eight meetings with Atlanta.

Who’s Not

Eastern Carolina Pirates are 5-13 against the spread in their last 18 road games.

Tampa Bay Lightning are 5-17 in their last 22 meetings with Washington.

Edmonton Oilers have won only eight of their last 26 games in Detroit.

Key Stat

106-38 – The points for/points against breakdown for the Pitt Panthers during their first three games of Big East play. The 106 points for is most in the conference so far while the meager 38 points they have allowed is the fewest. Pitt is set as a 5.5-point favorite visiting UConn on Thursday.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Roddy White (knee) Atlanta Falcons - White has promised to play all week, but is still listed as questionable for Thursday's game against the Ravens. The NFC's leading receiving didn't practice on Monday or Tuesday and was limited in Wednesday's walkthrough. He should play, but he's likely not close to 100 percent.

Game Of The Day

Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons (-1, 43.5)

Notable Quotable

"It goes back to the (proposed) 18-game schedule. You have to ask yourself a real question when you schedule games like this: Who does it help? Because it doesn't help the players. That turnaround is just too quick. You go from playing a physical game on Sunday and you have less than four days before you have to physically get back up again. It takes a week for guys to really heal." – Ravens linebacker Ray Lewis on playing Thursday games.

Notes And Tips

New York Rangers winger Marian Gaborik will reportedly make his return to the lineup Thursday against the Buffalo Sabres after missing 12 games with a separated shoulder. The Rangers’ official Twitter feed reported that Gaborik said he was ready to go after he participated fully in Wednesday’s practice.

Boston Celtics coach Doc Rivers wouldn't shed any light on the whether Shaquille and/or Jermaine O’Neal would be able to play Thursday night against the Miami Heat. Rivers originally said neither would play, but then backed off that statement and said both could play. We should have a better idea of who's in and who's out Thursday morning. The Celtics are set as 6.5-point underdogs.

Ottawa Senators goaltender Brian Elliott missed Wednesday's practice with an undisclosed injury. The team wouldn't comment on the situation following the workout, but this might turn into Pascal Leclaire's chance to finally get back in the net on Thursday against Vancouver. With Eliott playing so well, Leclaire hasn't started since coming back from a groin injury.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BEN BURNS

10* THURSDAY NIGHT ROAST* ATLANTA FALCONS (-3 or better)

Game: Baltimore Ravens vs. Atlanta Falcons Game Time: 11/11/2010 8:25:00 PM Prediction: Atlanta Falcons Reason: I'm playing on ATLANTA. With all due respect to the Ravens, I expect Atlanta's home field advantage to again prove the difference here. *10

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS BETTING PROFESSOR

Thursday's NCAAF Pick:
Connecticut Huskies +6*

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE PREDICTION MACHINE

107 7:30 PM PITT @ UCONN -5.5 9.6 59.3 Normal play

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kyle Hunter

Celtics/Heat U185

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Morrison NHL 11/11/10

Vancouver Canucks
Ottawa Senators

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

2underdogs

7:30pm - pittsburgh panthers -5.5 / 5 unit
8pm - boston celtics @ miami heat - over 184 / 4 unit
10:30pm - la lakers -3 / 4 unit

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Knicks (-6-1/2) Wednesday night.

Thursday it's East Carolina. The deficit is 70 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Bonus Play Thursday

Ottawa -110

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
548- 397 run 59 %

Bonus Play Thurs Ravens + 1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL

Season: 62-49 (.559)

BOSTON 3, Montreal 2
N.Y. RANGERS 3, Buffalo 2
WASHINGTON 4, Tampa Bay 3
Philadelphia vs. CAROLINA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Minnesota vs. ATLANTA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
DETROIT 4, Edmonton 2
Vancouver vs. OTTAWA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
ST. LOUIS 3, Nashville 2
LOS ANGELES 3, Dallas 2
SAN JOSE 4, N.Y. Islanders 2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 67-41 (.620)
ATS: 63-51 (.553)
ATS Vary Units: 188-195 (.491)
Over/Under: 60-55 (.522)
Over/Under Vary Units: 90-71 (.559)

Boston vs. MIAMI: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
CHICAGO 113, Golden State 108
L.A. Lakers 105, DENVER 103